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McDonald's (XSGO:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $6.00 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.379. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.00 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of McDonald's was 37.20% per year. The lowest was -2.30% per year. And the median was 12.00% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), McDonald's's current stock price is $237.57. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $6.00. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 39.60.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 36.32.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.09 5.50 5.79 6.16 6.00

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.16 6.01 5.72 6.67 6.00

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=2.379/129.4194*129.4194
=2.379

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.344 99.695 1.745
201406 0.904 100.560 1.163
201409 1.193 100.428 1.537
201412 0.758 99.070 0.990
201503 1.354 99.621 1.759
201506 1.146 100.684 1.473
201509 1.642 100.392 2.117
201512 0.854 99.792 1.108
201603 1.510 100.470 1.945
201606 1.028 101.688 1.308
201609 2.177 101.861 2.766
201612 0.173 101.863 0.220
201703 1.353 102.862 1.702
201706 1.031 103.349 1.291
201709 1.558 104.136 1.936
201712 0.583 104.011 0.725
201803 1.368 105.290 1.682
201806 0.924 106.317 1.125
201809 2.267 106.507 2.755
201812 0.821 105.998 1.002
201903 1.951 107.251 2.354
201906 1.727 108.070 2.068
201909 2.275 108.329 2.718
201912 1.532 108.420 1.829
202003 1.417 108.902 1.684
202006 -0.692 108.767 -0.823
202009 3.399 109.815 4.006
202012 2.037 109.897 2.399
202103 2.337 111.754 2.706
202106 1.663 114.631 1.878
202109 2.812 115.734 3.145
202112 2.634 117.630 2.898
202203 2.317 121.301 2.472
202206 0.243 125.017 0.252
202209 2.573 125.227 2.659
202212 2.272 125.222 2.348
202303 2.607 127.348 2.649
202306 1.562 128.729 1.570
202309 3.361 129.860 3.350
202312 2.379 129.419 2.379

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


McDonald's  (XSGO:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=237.57/6
=39.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 36.32.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (XSGO:MCD) Business Description

Industry
Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.

McDonald's (XSGO:MCD) Headlines

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